The Black Forest

6753. Submitted on 2020/2/1, 10.51 h by Arduenn:

R0>4

"The [...] mean of R estimates is 4.08 [...] with SD=0.36 (95% CI 3.37~4.77). "

"The SEIRDC model estimates the fatality rate for 2019-nCoV is 6.50%."

"In conclusion, considering transmissibility and fatality rate, 2019-nCoV poses a major public health threat, at least at the level of 2003 SARS. Epidemiological studies are critically called for to evaluate the effectiveness of stringent measures such as lockdown and help the design of refinements and development of potential alternative strategies for the next phase of the 2019-nCoV outbreak."

Bron (nòg niet ge-peer-reviewed artikel)

Ja nu mogen jullie panikeren.

There are 2 comments to this post (the latest by Choco on 2020/2/2, 8.31 h).

1. Choco commented on 2020/2/2, 8.23 h:

China vertelde alles vanaf dag “1”.. (not)

2. Choco commented on 2020/2/2, 8.31 h:

dus 7% vs 2% normaal. Dat zou dus veel zijn?

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